Case for the Rome semifinalists: Jabeur, Kasatkina to meet; winner will face Swiatek

Four players remain in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, but one name stands out above the rest. Iga Swiatek
Up next in her quest for a fourth straight WTA 1000-level title (and fifth straight title overall) is Aryna Sabalenka
In the other semifinal Saturday, No.9 Ons Jabeur
How will these play out? We make the case for each player:
The final 4⃣ 👋
— wta (@WTA) May 13, 2022
🇵🇱 [1] Swiatek vs. [3] Sabalenka
🇹🇳 [9] Jabeur vs. Kasatkina#IBI22 pic.twitter.com/sjjVyEgeTq
No.1 Iga Swiatek vs. No.3 Aryna Sabalenka
Case for Swiatek
Who's going to stop Iga Swiatek
"Consistency was the thing I really wanted to work on last year -- this year I feel like it clicked, so I'm pretty happy," she said after defeating Andreescu.
In light of all this, not Aryna Sabalenka
If Swiatek has a potential weakness, it's facing opponents with outright power. Two of her three losses this season came against big hitters in Danielle Collins
But Collins, Ostapenko and Samsonova all possess a different kind of power to Sabalenka: flatter and closer to the lines, and a more extreme commitment to first-strike tennis. Sabalenka's rise into the Top 5 was based around reining those tendencies in, overwhelming opponents with force while still aiming well inside the court. That's how she turned her quarterfinal against Amanda Anisimova
Case for Sabalenka
Finally. That was Sabalenka's reaction after she fired an ace to reach her second clay semifinal of the season and first on clay. But her relief wasn't just about making a breakthrough in Rome. She had gone 0-4 against Amanda Anisimova
Rome: Scores | Order of play | Draw
Sabalenka is at her most dangerous when she has a clear mind and is willing to make in-match adjustments. She beat Swiatek in their first encounter last year, at the WTA Finals, but has not won a set against the Pole in two matches this year. Sabalenka says she's learned from her mistakes in those matches. The biggest learning has been to keep the emotions out of it.
No.3 seed @SabalenkaA recovers from a set down to defeat Anisimova 👏
— Internazionali Bnl (@InteBNLdItalia) May 13, 2022
Sabalenka-Anisimova 4-6 6-3 6-2#IBI22 | #tennis pic.twitter.com/d5fQOWBYou
"Before the final in Stuttgart, I was thinking wrong," Sabalenka told WTA Insider. "I was thinking, 'Oh my god, someone has to stop this girl.' That wasn't right from me. That's why I was going crazy on every point she was making because I really wanted to beat her. I was getting aggressive and my behavior was crazy.
"This time I just want to find a way to beat her. This is the big difference. She's aggressive, she's playing well, she can hit great shots from whatever position in the court. You have to stay in the point as long as is needed and try to find the way." -- Courtney Nguyen
No.9 Ons Jabeur vs. Daria Kasatkina
Case for Jabeur
Staring down the barrel of a meek quarterfinal exit at the hands of Maria Sakkari
"Today the match for me was mental more than anything else," Jabeur said afterward. "Physically, I felt good. The fact that I have the confidence, I think that gave me the opportunity to win today."
Jabeur keeps proving that unchartered territory is no problem. The 27-year-old came into Rome without a win at the Foro Italico. Now she's into her third semifinal of the clay season and a victory away from her second consecutive WTA 1000 final. The win over Sakkari was her first on clay against a Top 5-ranked player.
Jabeur's game has always been there, but her self-belief, discipline and confidence have propelled her to new heights. A junior Roland Garros champion, her swashbuckling game has always been at home on the terre battue.
Jabeur is on a three-match winning streak against Kasatkina, with all three wins coming in the past 12 months. It will be a tactical chess match between the two, but Jabeur's confidence has been unshakable. She has taken only three losses to players outside the Top 20 this season, with two coming to Belinda Bencic
"Never easy to play Dash, even though I know I won the last few matches before," Jabeur said. "She's such a fighter. I love her. I love her team. They're doing incredible work.
"It's going to be probably a great match, a great opportunity for me to get to the finals." – Courtney Nguyen
Case for Kasatkina
Daria Kasatkina
Kasatkina has extended rallies beyond 15 shots 27 times this week, more than any other player in the draw. Her rally tolerance, bolstered by the slower surface, helped her extract numerous errors from World No.3 Paula Badosa
“My legs have to work good,” Kasatkina said after making it past an injured Jil Teichmann
However, Kasatkina is selling herself short, as her weighty forehand and array of drop shots have been effective as well. She also had the most service breaks (24) out of the semifinalists.
Kasatkina has the daunting task of ending the 10-match winning streak of Ons Jabeur
But on the slower clay of Rome, Kasatkina’s assets become even more potent. With an impressive record against the game’s elite behind her (she has won six of her past eight matches against Top 5 opposition), Kasatkina could be the one to halt Jabeur’s run. – Jason Juzwiak